The next three years will determine whether South Africa succeeds or fails in the long term.
"Â¢ Jacob Zuma's term as president is due to end in 2019, though he could go earlier. Who will succeed him and what will the impact be on policy?
"Â¢ The ANC's dominance has been significantly dented after opposition parties gained ground in the 2016 local government elections, but will the minority and coalition governments in key cities hold or fall apart?
"Â¢ The economy is in trouble, and the National Treasury has been buffeted by a struggle for power at the centre of government. Will Pravin Gordhan and his band of reformers survive and succeed?
"Â¢ The public protector's term ends now in October. Will her successor hold the line?
"Â¢ The judiciary is under pressure, and several positions have opened up on the Constitutional Court bench. Will the rule of law be maintained?
Looking at these and other issues, Richard Calland presents scenarios for the country's future, showing how the next few years are the most critical since the early 1990s, and how South Africa can set itself on a path to success or failure. It really is make or break time.
ABOUT THE AUTHOR: Richard Calland is one of South Africa's most incisive political analysts. He led IDASA's political and economic governance programmes for over a decade, is a founder member of the Council for the Advancement of the South African Constitution (CASAC), and is an associate professor in public law. He is the co-founding partner of The Paternoster Group: African Political Insight, and is a long-time retained advisor to Massmart.
A regular commentator in the press and on TV and radio, his column "Contretemps" has appeared in theÃƒâ€šÃ‚Â Mail & GuardianÃƒâ€šÃ‚Â since 2001. His earlier publications include"Â�Thabo Mbeki's World"Â�, "Anatomy of South Africa"Â�, "The Vuvuzela Revolution"Â�Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â andÃƒâ€šÃ‚Â "The Zuma Years"Â�.
[R220, Zebra Press, Paperback, 184 pages, ISBN-9781776090761]
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